Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 227.382134 255.825116 287.294970 324.845885 368.627156 418.293254 479.228816
2025-04-06 183.639210 220.780685 265.422479 323.621282 398.360287 492.316362 621.299416
2025-04-13 153.979825 192.683067 241.618333 309.063888 401.260106 525.374619 709.507316
2025-04-20 142.205950 184.266125 239.868963 320.427128 437.036364 604.431758 872.090090
2025-04-27 133.869747 178.762010 240.454704 333.875244 476.273271 693.167587 1065.474064
2025-05-04 123.438202 168.902077 233.390453 334.689728 495.971207 754.463054 1226.783839
2025-05-11 112.330317 156.797778 221.537039 326.381410 499.560658 789.525571 1349.196616
2025-05-18 103.347692 146.880709 211.776607 319.860650 504.599578 826.943298 1482.779302
2025-05-25 99.281013 143.890575 212.133098 329.364063 537.549057 918.227745 1741.561085
2025-06-01 93.444047 137.623789 206.665468 328.368486 551.582065 976.451947 1945.788781
2025-06-08 87.238809 130.261480 198.737604 322.171680 555.046144 1014.365426 2114.109835
2025-06-15 83.051748 125.792832 195.134004 323.103130 571.895728 1081.788578 2368.972863
2025-06-22 77.731029 119.210703 187.642876 316.587759 574.088287 1120.430624 2568.459381
2025-06-29 73.746815 114.580736 183.140551 315.192128 586.537371 1184.177727 2855.221552
2025-07-06 68.127745 106.807001 172.545416 301.119726 570.692365 1180.453824 2952.762445
2025-07-13 66.825568 106.314173 174.780500 312.120366 609.882632 1314.319594 3502.656245
2025-07-20 65.863216 106.322756 177.884129 325.138774 655.492324 1474.213148 4203.609015
2025-07-27 63.301650 103.317529 175.169685 325.927054 673.166604 1565.593296 4713.527593
2025-08-03 59.811350 98.428380 168.559111 317.885015 668.802867 1596.303222 5016.120343
2025-08-10 56.798887 94.237197 162.997355 311.572166 667.848211 1636.685935 5375.970210
2025-08-17 55.825686 93.730984 164.504515 320.772250 706.897691 1802.757872 6339.285159
2025-08-24 53.762280 91.066769 161.577488 319.808544 719.749821 1892.604329 7021.728515
2025-08-31 51.295801 87.507959 156.634031 313.809618 718.505575 1937.798987 7521.426544